Showing posts with label Weapons procurement. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Weapons procurement. Show all posts

Saturday, 24 March 2018

India’s tripping point


The annual budgets for the armed have shown declining outlays for modernization, thus affecting new projects. It’s more to do with the government’s mindset

Col R Hariharan|My space|Defence|Funds crisis|
India Legal February 26, 2018               
                             

PRIME MINISTER Narendra Modi is probably happy to see leaders of foreign governments, one after the other, making a beeline to New Delhi because it indicates increasing recognition of India as an important global player. Modi has partly succeeded in managing India’s strategic influence from being overwhelmed by China’s increasing power play in South Asia and Indian Ocean Region. The Maldives slipping into China’s fold, disregarding India’s objections, has shown India fulfiling its strategic dream is still in the making.
The Chinese dragon will continue to roll on because President Xi Jinping is trying to live the China Dream. His strong global pitch is not only backed by deep pockets but PLA’s military muscle to defend China’s increasing global assets.

Though India has overtaken China’s in its GDP rate of growth, surprisingly its armed forces are still to make up their decades of deficiencies even to meet the essential needs to defend the country, let alone safeguard India’s increasing global assets. Nothing illustrates the crisis situation better than the army informing the parliamentary standing committee that it does not have enough money to pay for ongoing schemes, emergency procurement and weaponry for 10 days of intense war, future acquisitions and also strategic roads along the China border.  The report, which the committee tabled in Parliament, quoted Lt General Sarath Chand’s deposition that the defence budget “has dashed our hopes” and “marginal increase in it barely accounts for inflation and doesn’t cater for taxes.”

This year’s defence budget has been increased by only 7.81% to Rs 295,511 crores from Rs 274, 114 crores last year. The defence outlays is about 1.58 % of the GDP, the lowest such figure since the 1962 war with China. It had been steadily declining in percentage terms as the economy expanded. With the chances of collusive threat from Pakistan and China, we need to double it if armed forces are to manage the current threat.

The annual defence budgets have shown declining outlays for modernisation affecting new projects. About 80% of the outlays are for committed liabilities for financing arms deals inked in earlier years. This has meant that the armed forces will continue to grapple with critical operational shortages even to wage conventional war.

But it is not about money but more to do with the mindset of those in government. Successive governments have been tall on talk but short on making the armed forces fit for war. Otherwise, the Raksha Mantri’s operational directives and the 15-year Long Term Integrated Perspective Plan have never received the attention they deserved from the government. There is a clear disconnect within the government; otherwise it difficult to explain the finance ministry failing to approve the 10th (2002-07), 11th (2007-12) and 12th Five Year Plans formulated with the existing threat perceptions.

I am writing this with a feeling of déjà vu; I remember what former army chief General VP Malik wrote in 2012, twelve years after the Kargil war. Twenty days after taking over as Army chief, while addressing the PM and the Cabinet Committee on Security in a combined commanders’ conference on October 20, 1997, the general described the state of the Army as “the spirit is strong but the body is weak,” indicating the high deficiencies of arms, ammunition and equipment.

In March 1999, just before Kargil war, he wrote to the then Defence Minister George Fernandes stating “The army is finding that major acquisitions get stymied for various reasons and a feeling of cynicism is creeping. By and large, the prevailing situations is that nothing much can be done about the existing hollowness in the Army. By denying essential equipment, the armed forces would gradually lose their combat edge, which would show adversely in future conflict.” And it showed up during the Kargil conflict when ammunition for Bofors guns was procured from international market and rushed post haste to battle front. Are we waiting for another "Kargil" to happen once again?

Winston Churchill once said “Generals are always prepared for the last war.” Our generals have belied him; they want to fight today’s wars with modern weapons. However, whether the government is even prepared for the last war is a disturbing question.

There is no point in finger pointing, because the problem is past that stage. Though I am no great admirer of Churchill, I cannot but quote him from War Memoirs, “United wishes and good will cannot overcome brute facts. Truth is incontrovertible. Panic may resent it. Ignorance may deride it. Malice may distort it. But there it is.”

So our priority should be to immediately make up 10 days war reserve to start with; we can talk of two-front or two-and-half-front wars thereafter. Otherwise, India’s failure to attend to these long standing deficiencies may well prove to be PM Modi’s tripping point in realising his strategic dreams. 

I hope the PM realises the urgency of the crisis armed forces are facing, particularly when the situation along LoC has become incendiary, with the Army hitting hard Pakistan army bases supporting terrorist infiltration, under the gaze of China –Pakistan’s strategic partner – which keeps reminding us of Doklam.

The writer is a military intelligence specialist on South Asia, associated with the Chennai Centre for China Studies and the International Law and Strategic Analysis Institute
Twitter: @indialegalmedia Website: www.indialegallive.com Contact: editor@indialegallive.com


Thursday, 4 June 2015

India needs to stop taking its armed forces for granted

Military men don’t need political clichés, but only basic needs to perform a professional job

COLONEL R HARIHARAN   @colhari2  |poliics |  Long-form |   04-06-2015

For the past one week the nation saw on TV news channels vociferous and heated discussions on OROP, an issue that was had long been ignored. The issue was not discussed on its own merits but because of its relevance to Prime Minister Modi’s performance score card.  So naturally the discussion died down to give way to the ebullient Delhi Chief Minister put Kejri Act-2 to raise his showdown with the Lt Governor to a new high. To be fair to some media channels, the veterans were given space to clear the air on OROP. 

Shorn of B grade Bollywood sentiments that precede all discussions on armed forces, the homespun advice to veterans seemed to be “if you guys had waited for 40 years, what’s the emergency now?” They did not seem to remember that many veterans have already died without getting the long overdue benefits of OROP while the leadership played its numbers game.

It is not wholly the fault of political leadership at the helm because the nation has left serious discourses on national security to politicians and bureaucracy with the uniformed men hanging on the sidelines. With parliamentarians busy in shouting out each other over non-issues, the question how to get the best out of our armed forces has been left to languish. Loud three minute outputs in TV news discussions masquerading as intellectual analyses on core issues are now occupying public space for informed discussion.  Pontificating op-eds in print media that used do a better job of it are ignored by many looking for instant gratification. 

So our national activity seems to be focused on trivia ie., sizzling Bollywood or cricket gossip or issues of national self flagellation ie., secular aberrations of a society structured on caste preferences in every walk of life.  Oh, I forgot to add Pakistan, which keeps Breaking News every third day!

Fortunately for the politicians and the media, though not for veterans, OROP promises to drag on for a few more years as indicated in Prime Minister’s Man ki Baat, though it may lose its media appeal when Modi’s performance is not reviewed. But, how about other serious problems affecting the armed forces? The nation needs to seriously introspect, debate and discuss them as the armed forces are saddled with huge baggage of issues dragging down their performance and efficiency. The truth is (with due apologies to Georges Clemenceau, who led France in the First World War) “War is too serious a matter to be left to generals or politicians” in 21st Century.

Year after year the nation is spending huge amounts of hard earned national wealth in the name of security.   Warfare has become highly technology dependent requiring real time up-gradations and increments of arms and equipment of forces.  This has made armed forces prohibitively expensive to train, maintain and equip to keep them fit for war. This has made the cost of defending the nation go up in geometric proportion over the years. Even yesterday’s colonial powers which reveled in two world wars have become dependent upon collective strength rather than individual military prowess.

It is high time the nation started asking the question: are we getting the best value for money spent in the name of national security and defence? Unfortunately nobody seems to be doing this. In the hands of politicians, this exercise has become a victim of competitive politics. Typical example is the fate of General VK Singh’s classified letter to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh listing out serious deficiencies of the army affecting their performance written in his capacity as chief of army staff. The immediate political reaction was to flog the hapless chief for leaking the letter to the media though it had happened within the bureaucratic hierarchy as revealed later. But what happened to the issues he raised? The parliament never seriously analysed and debated them; everyone seemed to be happy with the certification of the defence minister,who promised to look into it. That most of the deficiencies Gen VK Singh had raised persist to this day is no secret. Now the more articulate and better organized defence minister Parikkar has been left with the unviable job of aberrations compounded over decades of national lethargy. Even the super efficient Parikkar had to pass the buck to others as demonstrated in the OROP issue after a whole year of cogitation.

After investing thousands of crores of rupees of national wealth on security, the nation has to slay the holy cows of bloated, inefficient establishments guzzling money to make the Defence Research and Development Organization (DRDO), Hindustan Aeronautics, tank factories and ordnance factories into centres of excellence. For this to happen the nation has to ask hard questions. And that requires serious discussions and dialogue. We should look for constructive solutions rather than preferring breast beating over minor aberrations and make believe grievances ignoring gut issues. 

Here are some “gut issues” of army. First is the man behind the gun today.  The jawans of today come from all parts of India and not from oases of “martial races” that Colonial masters had imagined. He joins the army not because of martial or feudal traditions but simply because he cannot find a more lucrative government job. He is generally a product of poor quality public education which leave him deficient in knowledge and skills. He comes carrying all the societal aberrations – poor self discipline, immune to violations of basic rights, poor governance and caste and community prejudices. He has high expectations from the army to meet the needs of increasingly urbanising consumerist society than the semi-literate rural yokel of the 60s.

So the army has the difficult job of ironing out these kinks, impart military skills and motivate him to fight for his fellow men, unit and nation. In any case the word ‘patriotism’ is passé now. So you cannot motivate the young soldier with Kipling’s observation “it is not for us to reason how and why but do and die.” He now needs to have faith in his weapon, military training and leadership and the cause. We need to provide him these basics for him to perform.

He is no dummy who will just say ji huzoor and kowtow.  He keeps abreast of national developments thanks to better literacy and multiple means of instant communication. So he is no pushover. The world-over modern soldier is questioning decisions as much as ordinary citizen. And our soldiers are no exception. So he will react now to mindless decisions or orders.

This has been compounded by the demands placed on the soldier by society which are too many for which army cannot prepare him. Modern soldiering requires higher knowledge levels for effective use of modern battlefield weapons and equipment. So to train him into a first rate soldier is a huge responsibility and the burden of army as it is hobbled at every step by our systemic deficiencies in turning the youth into productive citizens. For instance in my own field of intelligence, knowledge of electronic transmissions and sensors has become integral to information gathering which was peripheral in our days. So a higher level of training is required.

The burden of making an effective soldier is  on the officers of the unit. Many may not know the army toils for three months a year in training even when units are billeted in “peace stations” after serving a difficult tenure in mountains.

But the units just do not have enough officers to do this basic essential minimum. The officer class is perennially deficient from 15  to 28 percent while the army and the nation continue to expect the units to deliver the same results without any deficiencies. This problem has not been adequately addressed by all stakeholders and the quality of delivery is bound to fall in times of war unless this systemic weakness is resolved.

Unit administration now is different from the colonial "koi hai" days. It is more complex as class and regional composition of unit which used to provide motivational veneer is withering away. So motivation of troops for a common cause has become a tough call. Jawans come from complex societies which are continuously battered by inequality, caste, religion and class dogmas, and political gerrymandering. So Patriotism is not enough to instill pride in them; so like ordinary citizens they look for more tangible benefits from his job rather than ephemeral causes however prized they are. So he is unhappy if he is denied the just demands to meet his obligations to the unit, army and family.

Over the years there is a nagging feeling in the minds of all those wearing uniform is that the country is simply not bothered about the armed forces. This feeling runs the highest to the lowest levels of military hierarchy which more often shows up only when they retire. I do not see any light at the end of the tunnel to change this scene which has been shaped by years of neglect. I see no national leader capable of changing it in limited tenures in power, unless the nation loudly insists on accountability for defence spending.

Given this background it is surprising that the intelligentsia expects the army to continue to deliver a high quality of service when the whole society is not doing so; after all army is the product of the society. And however much army trains, inevitably it reflects the good and bad points of society.  Despite this weakness, on a comparative yardstick the Indian army is still performing better job than all other government services though its help is called for rectify short term problems.

After training to shoot to kill, the army is called to fight perennial insurgency in some parts of the country. And the leadership wants it be done in a   politically correct way. The other day former home and finance Minister P Chidambaram spoke eloquently why AFSPA should be modified even while troops are called upon to perform essentially civilian policing jobs. He spoke of a magistrate on spot empowering the soldier to do the job of handling a menacing mob; then why empower a soldier as done in AFSPA he asked.  

From my own years of experience insurgency areas, I can assure the suave former minister, the government official is usually the first guy missing in the scene of action. So where does the soldier on the spot go looking for the magistrate? He has no option to run away from the scene of action like the civilian official because it is against his ethos. So my request to all politicians (who are perhaps smarter than the soldiers who end up in icy wastes or boiling deserts) is to think through the problems to find solutions rather than use them to score political brownie points.

But my cynicism is overtaking me when I see nobody  is worried about the armed forces unless there is a failure or a perceived failure (remember the “army coup” scoop published in a national daily?).  Economist Keynes said Clemenceau had “one illusion – France; and one disillusion –mankind, including Frenchmen.” Only substitute India for France and Indian for Frenchmen and it will reflect my view. Yet I hope the younger generation proves me wrong by discussing issues hobbling our armed forces from giving their best.
Military men don’t need clichés, but only basic needs to perform a professional job.


Courtesy: India Today Opinion portal DailyO



Wednesday, 11 April 2012

Downside of Media ‘scoop’ on National Security

By Col. R. Hariharan 

The controversy surrounding the outgoing Army Chief General V. K. Singh’s revelations in the last two months provided an excellent opportunity for the Indian Express Editor’s cleverly constructed “scoop” hinting at the panic created in New Delhi when two military units – a mechanized column and a parachute battalion - moved towards the capital on January 16. Its innuendoes at the establishment’s suspicion about the loyalty of the army drew nation-wide attention. It is significant that a factual news story on lessons army learnt from the same military movement published a month earlier in a news website failed to get the same attention. 

Sunday, 8 April 2012

What is the state of readiness of our troops - 5

TV and to a lesser extent print media are increasingly becoming arbiters of many issues of national interest in the real time. As the vie with each other to increase their TRP ratings, truth and objectivity in reporting and analysing events have been pushed back. Their conduct in covering the recent events relating following the Army Chief General VK Singh "episode" has been remarkably murky. Writing about General VK Singh's conduct had been full of innuendoes and sneering contempt.

The worst was the Indian Express front page news story full of snide comments, hinting at the "curious'" (bashfully not uttering the C word) purpose in two army units moving "towards" New Delhi on the day the Army Chief's case in Supreme Court came up for judgment. This had shocked even the worst critics of army and the Army Chief. Many media men have taken the newspaper to task for such unabashed sensationalism. I am reproducing below an hard hitting article by Nitin Gokhale, veteran defence analyst and news editor of NDTV, on the media's conduct in the whole affair for your reading.

The Soldier, the State and the Media

Nitin Gokhale, April 6, 2012

In my three decades of reporting on the Indian military, I have never felt more uneasy about the military-media interface as I have in the past three months.